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总结
文章回顾1979年伊朗伊斯兰革命如何在神权体制、革命卫队与保守派的权力竞争中逐步“吞噬”自身：以意识形态与安全机构维系统治，压缩政治空间，叠加制裁与治理失衡，使经济困境与腐败争议加深、社会信任流失。近年来抗议呈现代际与阶层扩散，政权对“恐惧”的动员能力下降。作者并讨论若当局进一步失去合法性甚至出现崩溃情景，可能重塑伊朗内部权力结构，并对中东地区安全、核问题谈判与对外关系带来连锁冲击。
正文
How Iran's Islamic revolution devoured itself Financial Times What the collapse of Iran's regime would mean The Economist Opinion | Iran's Regime Is Losing Its Greatest Weapon: Fear The New York Times Faulty Assumptions About Iran Have Driven a Failed U.S. Policy Foreign Policy Iran's uprising is similar to 1979 - but it's not a revolution yet The Boston Globe
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