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总结
印度政府通过国家统计办公室发布2025-26财年首轮“提前估算”，预测印度实际GDP同比增长7.4%。报道指出，尽管美国关税等贸易摩擦带来外部压力，国内需求保持强劲、公共投资与财政支出延续扩张，推动经济增长仍具韧性并可能高于部分市场预期。该预测将影响预算编制、企业投资决策及市场对印度增长前景的定价，同时也提示外部贸易环境变化带来的不确定性。
正文
India's GDP pegged to grow at 7.4% for FY26 despite tariff heat The Economic Times FIRST ADVANCE ESTIMATES OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, 2025-26 PIB GDP to grow at 7.4% in 2025-26, government predicts in first advance estimates for the year The Hindu Robust economy! India's GDP growth projected at 7.4% in FY26 - government releases first advanced estimates Times of India Robust demand, govt spending to lift India's growth beyond estimates despite US tariffs Telegraph India
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