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总结
据三名了解机密评估的人士称，美国情报机构在最新内部报告中认为古巴经济形势严峻、政治压力加剧，但对政府是否会在近期动荡中垮台给出更为复杂的判断，未明确支持特朗普称美国对邻国委内瑞拉的军事行动已让古巴“准备倒下”的说法。评估显示古巴面临深层危机，却仍具一定韧性，相关结论或影响华盛顿对古政策与地区博弈。
正文
U.S. intelligence has painted a grim picture of Cuba's economic and political situation, but its assessments offer no clear support for President Donald Trump's prediction that last weekend's military action in nearby Venezuela leaves the island nation "ready to fall," said three people familiar with the confidential assessments. People walk on the street in downtown Havana, Cuba July 15, 2025. REUTERS/Norlys Perez
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