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总结
据Axios等报道，在特朗普宣称美方在委内瑞拉抓获马杜罗及其夫人前，预测市场Polymarket上有交易者押注“马杜罗被捕/下台”等结果并获得约40万美元收益，回报率被指超过千%。该交易时点引发外界对信息不对称与“内幕交易”可能性的质疑。美国国会议员里奇·托雷斯据报正推动对相关预测市场交易与监管漏洞展开审查，事件凸显地缘政治突发消息对新型交易平台的冲击与合规压力。
正文
Someone made $400K by predicting Maduro's capture. Here's what happened Axios Traders Made Timely Bets on Maduro Ouster The Wall Street Journal Was Someone Insider Trading Right Before Trump's Attack on Venezuela? The New Republic Polymarket Trader Made 1,242% Return on Venezuela Bet The Information Rep. Torres targets prediction market 'insider trading' after trader nets $400K on Maduro's capture: report The Block
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