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总结

多家美媒报道,美国预测市场近期迅速升温,部分参与者甚至辞去全职工作,转而通过对选举、政策与突发新闻等“当前事件”下注谋利。华尔街机构开始雇用专职交易员进入相关平台,Robinhood与Kalshi等产品降低门槛,吸引大学生与青少年参与。支持者称其能汇聚信息并形成市场化概率定价,但合规监管边界、投机与杠杆风险,以及对公共议题博彩化的伦理争议也随之扩大。

正文

They quit their day jobs to bet on current events. A look inside the prediction market mania NPR Wall Street groups hire traders to wade into prediction markets Financial Times College students and teens could be fueling the prediction markets boom CNBC Trading prediction markets and making money. What's the big deal? (HOOD:NASDAQ) Seeking Alpha The Democratization of Destiny: How Robinhood and Kalshi Mainstreamed Prediction Markets FinancialContent
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