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总结
多家媒体报道，在美国对委内瑞拉采取军事行动并于1月逮捕总统马杜罗前后，预测市场平台Polymarket上出现大额押注“马杜罗被捕/政权更迭”的神秘账户，单笔约3万美元并最终获利逾40万美元。报道指该交易者可能与特朗普政府圈子有关，引发预测市场是否易被内幕信息操纵、平台合规以及信息披露与监管漏洞的争议。
正文
There's Compelling Evidence That Someone Connected to the Trump Administration Profited Off the Invasion of Venezuela by Placing Large Bets on Polymarket Yahoo $30,000 Maduro bet sparks debate over prediction markets' insider trading exposure Axios Mystery trader garners $400,000-plus windfall on Maduro's capture Reuters A $400,000 profit on Maduro's capture raises insider trading questions on Polymarket NPR US traders make big profits betting on Maduro's capture in January The Guardian
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