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总结
战争研究所（ISW）1月8日发布战况评估称，俄罗斯近期对乌克兰发动导弹与无人机打击。多家媒体援引俄方说法称，俄军动用“榛树”（Oreshnik）等更先进的弹道导弹实施打击，部分报道指目标涉及乌克兰西部利沃夫，并被描述为具备核搭载能力。俄罗斯称此次行动系对乌方袭击普京住所的报复。事件被视为俄方升级威慑与施压信号，或进一步加大乌方防空压力并引发国际安全担忧。
正文
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 8, 2026 Institute for the Study of War Russia strikes Ukraine with Oreshnik ballistic missile, one of its most advanced weapons CNN Russia Appears to Use Nuclear-Capable Missile in Ukraine The New York Times The Russian Oreshnik Strike on Lviv: A Sign of Putin's Bigger Frustrations & Challenges in 2026 Futura Doctrina | Mick Ryan Russia says it fired its Oreshnik missile at Ukraine in response to strike on Putin's residence Reuters
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