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总结
多年来中国以“贷款换石油”的方式向委内瑞拉注入资金，委方以原油出口回款，在制裁与财政紧张背景下为马杜罗政府提供关键现金流。近期美国对委内瑞拉采取军事与司法层面的强硬行动并释放更迭政权信号，使这套安排面临转折：债务偿付与合同执行不确定，油运、项目与在委资产可能被新当局或制裁框架重新调整。中国因此需要重新评估在拉美的能源供应、债权回收与政治风险敞口，寻求与相关各方谈判以保护自身利益，相关变化亦可能扰动国际油市供给预期。
正文
China Needed Oil. Venezuela Needed Cash. Their Deal Faces a Turning Point. The New York Times Trump's attack leaves China worried about its interests in Venezuela | Amy Hawkins The Guardian 'Might makes right'? Why the U.S. strike on Venezuela won't push China into a Taiwan gamble CNBC Maduro's Capture Threatens China's Ambitions in Latin America The Wall Street Journal What Trump's Ousting of Venezuela's Maduro Means for China Bloomberg.com
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