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总结
这组财经评论围绕“2026年在特朗普任内美股是否会崩盘”展开，称近期投资者因关税相关坏消息而出现警报式波动，并以历史统计与过往总统任期、政策冲击与市场周期对比，讨论标普500在2026年的可能路径。文章强调影响市场的关键变量包括关税与通胀预期、利率与企业盈利等，认为短期波动与回撤风险存在，但仅凭单一政策或情绪难以断言必然发生系统性崩盘，建议关注数据与风险分散。
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How Likely Is It That the Stock Market Crashes Under President Donald Trump in 2026? Here's What History Tells Us. The Motley Fool The Stock Market Sounds an Alarm as Investors Get Bad News About President Trump's Tariffs. History Says the S&P 500 Will Do This in 2026. The Motley Fool Wall Street Sees Another Banner Year for Markets. Could Anything Stop It? The New York Times What To Expect From The S&P 500 This Year Forbes The Stock Market Won't Be Worth Celebrating in 2026 Barron's
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