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总结
多家外媒综合报道，伊朗正逼近可能改变国内权力结构的重大政治拐点。经济下行与物价高企令部分家庭难以负担基本食品，社会不满情绪扩散并诱发抗议与骚乱，使当局维稳成本上升。评论称，政权走向“崩溃或存续”可能取决于革命卫队内部在强硬镇压、有限让步或推动权力重组之间作出的关键选择；同时，流亡与国内反对派组织众多但分散，动员能力与合作前景仍存不确定。随着可供退让的政策“出口”减少，伊朗前景更趋动荡，或对中东地区安全与国际外交格局产生连锁影响。
正文
Iran edges closer to a revolution that would reshape the world Fortune Iran's collapse or survival hinges on one choice inside the Revolutionary Guard Fox News Which are Iran's main opposition groups? Al Jazeera 'If you don't have money for food, how can you be alive in Iran?' BBC The off-ramps are narrowing for Iran's regime Financial Times
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